Monday, November 10, 2014

FUNDAMENTAL RATIOS


Fundamental Ratios play a very important part in finding an equity investment of your risk appetite. I collected the fundamental ratios data for all the listed companies on NSE ( and BSE )  and tried to listout few stocks that should be considered for further analysis

Criteria 1 : P/E Ratio < 10 , SALES > 800 crores
Query1
company
pe
eps
Sales ( in crores )
National Wind Power Corporation Ltd.
3.27
-0.01
975.34
Nagarjuna Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd.(Old)
6.88
2.27
818.08
Trident Ltd.
5.14
6.33
913.26
National Steel and Agro Industries Ltd.
3.27
6.84
975.34
Monnet Ispat & Energy Ltd.
8.4
10.12
893.74
Sintex Industries Ltd.
8.92
10.77
998.14
Prakash Industries Ltd.
4.91
12.88
811.01
Uflex Ltd.
9.16
17.91
825.84
Diamond Power Infrastructure Ltd.
6.17
20.12
805.04
Escorts Ltd.
7.48
20.53
992.63
Kothari Products Ltd.
3.88
63.79
934.64
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.
0.25
124.21
856.02

We see that MTNL has very strong fundamentals. IF we look at the stock price over the last 10 years
Click here for Image
This stock was unperturbed by even the 2008 Financial crisis. Such a stock is indeed very handy to have in your portfolio. Besides it also gave a 10% dividend
Another stock to look out for is Escorts Limited. This is a company based on agricultural machinery. With agriculture certain to get a big push from the government, it will be a good buy. One thing to note from its graph ( in fact all the graphs of its peers ) is that these stocks did not get affected much in the 2008 crisis. However, post 2008, people started putting in a lot of money on these stocks, leading  to a bubble. These stocks are a very good buy at times of a crisis
Click here for Escorts Chart
Click here for Jain Irrigation Chart 
Now if we go to the other side of the spectrum, we see companies with good P/E ratios but very low EPS too. These are extremely stable stocks with little volatility over a large period of time. A take a look at “National Steel and Agro Industries” reveals that the stock price graph over the last 10 years will reveal that it has stayed put at the 20 price mark. However the stable performance translates to huge dividends . National Steel and Agro gave a dividend of 150%


Criteria 2 : P/E Ratio > 700
Query1
company
P/E
EPS
SALES
Dividend %
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd.
994.16
0.08
1
25
Futuristic Offshore Services & Chemical Ltd.
930.11
-0.13
2
30
Future Retail Ltd.
930.11
0.12
2
30
Visagar Polytex Ltd.
917.31
0.6
18.59
10
20 Microns Ltd.
793.61
0.04
81.32
10

A very high P/E will immediately tell you about a company that is new or expanding its business in another domain. This will often have lower dividends
  • Visagar went on NSE on Jun 2013
  • 20 Microns in 2009
(All the data has been taken from money.rediff.com and google finance )

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Search for the Counter Cyclical

Statistics is very fascinating but it is only recently in the past year or so, I began to realize its power. As humans, we cannot be sure of anything ( unless it is thrown at our face) and statistics can help us get that extra boost of probability

In 2008 the market collapsed and almost every stock was dealing in RED. But were there any stocks that braved the downfall ? If there are any they would be a certain hedge on your portfolio.

As a simple exercise, I collected data from over 500 companies listed on NSE for the past 7-8 years and ran some simple correlations between the price trend and the index ( CNX 500 in this case )

There is a stock PETRONET.NS that in fact had a correlation -0.3 with the Index at that time. PETRONET does business in LNG. There can be a lot of reasons for this.One can say It belongs to the Energy/Petroleum sector. But when I checked  the stocks of other oil companies ( RELIANCE,ONGC etc) they did not have the same trend. Almost all of them suffered a fall

( The graph taking the plunge in 2008 is the CNX 500  vs PETRONET)

However, I played around and found another GAS company ( IGL -> IndraPrastha Gas )
This shows that although it trailed the Index during the 2008 downturn, it has always remained counter cyclical to the index post 2010
( The graph taking the plunge in 2008 is the CNX 500  vs INDRAPRASTHA Gas)
There might be hidden trends in the stock movement of the GAS companies. There can be many reasons
1) Does not India rely on imports for LNG
2) LNG is a necessity ( upturn or downturn )

We need to ascertain this trend for GAS companies. More updates coming



Sunday, November 29, 2009

CAT vs BITSAT

Some important statistics

1) BITSAT online exam was started 4 years back. CAT online exam has started just now
2) The BITSAT exam spanned for more than 50 days with 3 batches a day. The CAT exam was "supposed" to span over 10 days, with 2 exams everyday.
3) The no of students taking BITSAT is around 2 lakhs, CAT is taken by 2.5 lakhs
4) BITSAT is managed by the BITS Pilani, Institute themselves. CAT paid a huge amount of fees to PROMETRIC.
5) BITSAT continues successfully for 4 years. CAT failed on "First day, First Show", continuing the same on the second day too.
If anybody wants to add more point ( pro BITS) then please comment.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Ninja Awesome Game


Video Games are part and parcel of our lives. There are some which require high config processors and stuff , and on the other hand there are some which are simple and addictive in their own way.

One is Monkey Kick Off. I remember waking up 1 full night in order to beat my friends score. Try them out for yourself




Play Monkey Kick Off


Play Monkey Lander




But my favourite has been Ninja. I can guarantee that you will fall in love with the game as soon as you lay hands on it. It has that sort of an addiction, that can make you forget everything, and best of all, you dont have anybdy else to compete with. It is single player game, but requires eye and keyboard sync of the utmost level.
The sceen is simple, the rules are simple. You just have to manoeuvre your "ninja" through a 2D screen which is filled with obstacles, but it is the obstacles that will win your heart away.
-> a following missile
-> a mario like tortoise slider
-> laser bot
-> antenna bots
-> cannons


Download N Ninja

Game Info , Forum etc

You just have to play to love it. It is made in Flash and you have to respect the programming expertise of the designer. Looks like he has used Action Script. Well we need not worry about these silly things , just play the gmae and get immersed in it.

Yeah it can act as a stress buster too. And please please play it on a proper keyboard, dont spoil your laptop keys.